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Is War With Israel The Next Step For Iran?

Ghazal Omid - 8/22/2006

What's next for Iran? Will it be war with Israel? My answer is 'yes' and here is why…

As the world obsesses over Iran’s nuclear capability, most of us know there is no compelling, peaceful domestic reason for Iran to seek nuclear energy. Iran’s determination to become a nuclear power in defiance of world opinion is motivated solely by its leader’s declared intent to wipe Israel from the face of the earth. I repeat my mantra: If Iran achieves nuclear power, the world, particularly Israel, should start digging, either our shelters or our graves.

Iran’s regime has recently conducted ten short range missile tests inside Iran and military maneuvers on the Pakistani boarder. The real purpose of this activity is to get Iranians mentally ready in the upcoming weeks for a possible war with Israel.

Since Khomani stepped back on Iranian soil, this regime has been scheming and dreaming of a perfect time to start a war with Israel. The coming winter guarantees continuation of high oil prices that have enabled Iran to arm to the teeth. With US troops spread thin chasing the ghost of Bin Laden in Afghanistan and refereeing Sunni/Shiite militia clashes in Iraq, the Iranian regime has never felt more secure and powerful than at this moment in history.

The eternal, impotent bickering in the UN has been extremely beneficial to the Iranian regime; giving them the time they need to prepare for both sanctions and war at the same time.

Russia’s generosity in supplying educational aid needed to make the nuclear bomb and the Chinese government facilitating equipment and materials for Iran’s nuclear program, should not be ignored or forgotten.


The Iranian regime is so sure of itself that it has recently renewed its vow to gather all satellite dishes, one by one from every household in Iran, and arrest every Iranian who owns one. Iran has also renewed its attempt to stop the use of the internet. The Iranian Majless has passed a resolution declaring that the internet is being used to foment opposition to the regime. Web logs advocating freedom are banned, leaving the Iranian people in the dark about world news and the future of Iran. Iran is following North Korea’s path in isolating Iranians from outside news.

With no government sanctioned source of news, Iranians have to rely on piece meal information from personal external sources, which is passed from person to person. Iranians have finally grown smarter than to wait for the regime to make more promises about their future. The past twenty seven years are proof that this regime will never care if Iranians live or die.

The Iranian government will fight with utmost brutality. The result will be the destruction of the beautiful Persian culture. Iran is not only harboring the terrorist group Hezbollah; it has adopted their method of fighting. Mahmood Ahmadinejad, in his interview with Mike Wallace, said that the number of registered suicide bombers has increased from 2000 in January 2006 to the current number of 54,000. These martyrs are often students. Some were forced to register as a martyr so they or members of their family might work in a government job. Some registered on their own in order to receive a bomb and a key to heaven!

Ahmadinejad, a man of many talents, jumped from # 17 to # 1 on June 24, 2005 and may be the Tiger Woods of politicians. He certainly showed a talent for handling a reporter and dodging important questions.

Such as: Will Iran hit Israel? Of course, the President of Iran, like his mentor, Khomani, who didn’t hesitate to make false promises to the poor, has no problem bluffing about Iran’s power and how it is willing to wage war against a country that already has more than 300 nuclear missiles.

Even as he frustrated Mike Wallace with his weaving and waffling, the Iranian president was unmistakably proud that these young people are willing to kill themselves and murder innocents for an idiotic, irrational idea that makes every civilized person’s hair on the back of our necks stand.

He knew how to use the needs of the poor to get the votes for his presidency, supposedly to help them but, in reality, to be the flag holder for the long dead Khomani’s goals, including destruction of Israel. He is a crusader for Hezbollah and other terrorists groups. Tracking down political prisoners, Ahmadnijed doesn’t think of himself as a “Jew hater” but only as trying to assist the Muslim Nations in conquering the world.

Among Iran’s possible unholy plans is the use of biological bombs and banned materials. Although Iran denies making any substances banned by the UN, Iran does not honor or live by UN resolutions. Let’s be honest, where is the guarantee Iran will follow UN mandates?

While Iran was at war with Iraq, Khomani kept referring to the eight year war as a blessing. Iran’s only “blessing” from that war was over 1,000,000 casualties, including half a million dead, The regime, of course, survived many uprisings, killing over 2500 of its opposition per month and no one from the international community even blinked.

Hezbollah is Iran’s iron arm and hope for paradise. War is a blessing in the sky. This regime knows that unless there is a unifying war, they will soon be uprooted by a united Iranian movement on a different front. War is an imminent remedy to avoid a revolution.

The Iranian regime knows that with sanctions on the way and unhappy young people trying to organize they face two alternatives. They will either have millions of Iranians screaming anti-regime slogans in the streets, burning pictures of mullahs, chasing them with the same animosity the mullahs showed the Shah’s family and, when captured, as Banisader the impeached President of Iran once promised the mullahs, hanging them from the trees of Iran with their own turbans.

Or, they can have a serendipitous, unifying war to keep people busy and running for their lives.

What better excuse than the helpless, hopeless people of Lebanon and what better time than the next few months when, for the first time in its history, the UN has passed a unanimous resolution against Iran? Iran will soon find itself in a bigger dilemma than counted on. Iran is heading downhill and this regime is getting weaker by the day. To avoid a fall on their own, the Mullahs would rather take the poor people of Iran with them.

Iran’s regime is smarter than we think. Anticipating hard times, key figures have already pulled their assets from national banks; at the same time, trying to find allies among the very fragile circle of friends in the Arab community.

Iran will stage a war on Israel and the US on all fronts in the coming months. US troops in the Persian Gulf can be hit by their fast boats; at least that is what Iran banking on.

Iran will not put all their eggs in one basket. They will hit Israel at the same time as they step up the militia aggravation of US troops in Iraq and Afghanistan; as well as hitting US troops via supporters in Arabic countries.

And, Iran will interrupt oil flow. Iran has always entertained the idea of closing the Hormuz industrial ship passage in the Persian Gulf. This may be more difficult that Iran envisions but is certainly temporarily possible.

The flow of oil and cargo thru this passage is a crucial factor affecting international markets that the US and allies have to consider.

Iran will try to turn the war against Israel into a full fledged war in the region. To do that, Iran has already secured support of their followers in Lebanon, Iraq, Afghanistan, Pakistan and other Persian Gulf countries, including UAE and Kuwait and has even been praised by the Saudis.

With the help of their friends, Iran believes they can not only block the Hormuz passage and trap US ships but can also increase demand for oil by holding Middle East oil flow hostage; banking on heretofore unthinkable price increases and gouging.

Iranians will use Hezbollah’s fighters to keep Israeli troops busy. The biggest losers of all these plans will be the common people of the region. The only beneficiary will be the Iranian regime which will stay in power a bit longer.

Ghazal Omid is an author of Living in Hell, human rights and women's rights advocate, and an expert on Iran and Shiah Islam.

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