Home >> Middle East >> Iran Email Print Ahmdinejad: To Be Checkmated By Iranian People Ghazal Omid - 1/23/2007 Ahmdinejad is about to be checkmated by the Iranian people. The End for Ahmdinejad and his regime could be closer than we think. Think year 2008.
Ahmdinejad has been government of Iran's loud mouth since his placement in the presidential office prompted by the near death of Iranian leader, Ayatollah Khamani. My sources inside Iran say Khamani is either near death or has already passed away.
Ahmdinejad has been running Iranian lives as he pleases. His latest budget for the Iranian year 1386 was published nearly three months late, allowing the Iranian assembly insufficient time to review the items on which he will be spending money. He has cut quite a number of items from the budget, including public health, and hospitals. And, has closed the budget based on oil at about 36 dollars per barrel. That means in the event of a surge in the oil market, as has already happened, his government will not have to answer questions about surplus or where it goes.
While Ahmdinejad publicly condemns UN sanctions, screaming into the microphone with pointed finger toward the west and its allies, as though he is in a position of power, labeling the sanctions as useless, he is, in reality, being checked by ordinary people demanding to know why the price of tomatoes has tripled since last week. He mocks them with a smirk on his face, scolding, "You are shopping in an expensive part of town. Come to the part of town where I live, it is cheaper there."
This confrontation may be a very simple, yet meaningful, sign that the END is near for Ahmdinjed and his regime. This is just the start of the reaction to his behavior toward people. As tolerant as they are, Iranians don't like egotists. The Shah was portrayed this way by the media. Ahmdinjed does it on his own. Iranians are acutely aware this is just the beginning of a long, harsh winter and are already worried about the possibility of war.
On the other hand, sanctions have and will impact the economy, which is directly linked to the Iranian government's stability and ability to avoid further scrutiny. With the help of private money and business people, the government of Iran is making money in the US as we speak. This has probably gone unremarked on because so many people in the private sector benefit. However, with all the money being made selling Persian carpets on Iranian satellite TV, has anyone ever questioned where all the carpets are coming from? How are Iranians who have been away from Iran, many claming to be refugees, able to return to Iran, bringing hand made Persian rugs to sell for a huge profit? Has anyone noticed or questioned how so many carpets can be imported into the US while Iran and the US, presumably, have not had any direct business links for decades? How is it possible the government of Iran, which for years didn't allow even a small rug out of Iran with exiting passengers, is allowing this many carpets to be exported? How is this possible unless there was a long range plan? Sources estimate that more than 1,000,000 rugs have been sent to the USA alone. Large numbers of Persian carpets are being sold daily at auction in the US and Europe. Sources allege this is being done indirectly by the Iranian government, enabling it to make millions of dollars in the US with no scrutiny from the US government!
The government of Iran is looking for ways to have direct talks with the US only to buy more time to develop its nuclear technology. Being surrounded by the US military while facing overwhelming internal public dissatisfaction is rather like waiting for a nuclear bomb to go off.
The Iranian regime dances around, proclaiming that if the US government attacks Iran it will cause a regional war. There might be a shred of truth there; only because there is no doubt that Iran is relying on its militia in Iraq and Lebanon, Hamas in Palestine and sympathizers in Afghanistan, Pakistan and UAE to cause chaos in the Persian Gulf and throughout the entire Middle East.
What can be done immediately to help the Iranian people move to the streets?
Sanctions are good if done the right way but they are only the beginning. The US and its allies must make sure the mullahs of Iran feel the pressure personally. Rafsanjani, for example, is among many wealthy Iranian leaders. He has properties around the world, including Dubai & Kuwait. A highly effective strategy would be for Western allies to seize private assets of the Iranian hierarchy and everyone close to them.
Russia and China must get out of Iran and stop helping the Iranian regime. Someone with clout needs to forcefully tell them: no more feigned sympathy for the Iranian people…cut your umbilical to the Iranian regime.
If the West would stop buying oil from Iran and not allow other countries to resell Iranian oil, Iran will come to its knees.
Another important element is using the power of the internet. The regime is worried and recently warned that the next revolution would be through the internet. That is why they are planning to shut down all internet sites during the next Iranian calendar year. There are 7000 internet hosts in Iran and all belong to the government.
Money spent helping Iranian freedom fighters can be the difference between winning and losing the war on terrorism.
As a human rights activist, I talk daily to people whose lives are at great risk in getting to a phone or internet cafe in order to send me the news of the day from Iran. I ask them, what do you need right now and how can we get it to you?
Their first request is not for money or shelter but laptops, cell phones and the newest sophisticated equipment that Iran intelligence cannot crack or trace. Iran is believed to have, behind Israel, the second best intelligence in the world.
Their next request is for small recorders that will allow them to send high quality files faster so we in the West can see their work in a timely manner and act accordingly.
In my opinion, the next Iranian revolution will be a pod-casting gathering. This is what the government of Iran fears because they know Iranian youth are way ahead of them on the technology road. This is our key to helping the Iranian people.
To top off our efforts, people who were at one point with the regime, have paid a price and now regret their past alliance, can help by giving us an edge into reading the mind of our enemy, the Iranian regime. Knowing our enemy; how they live and think is the key to success and the difference between living and dying in this war. The people of Iran are ready to be lead in the direction to pick a fight against their regime.
There is an overwhelming warm feeling of hope that with the proper help from the West, this regime will be gone before the end of 2008.
This prediction is not exclusively from me. It is from the pages of Persian history and ancient prognosticators. Let's hope this prediction is true. Ghazal Omid is an author of Living in Hell, human rights and women's rights advocate, and an expert on Iran and Shiah Islam.
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