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Iranian regime on the verge of collapse
Shahriar Kia - 2/17/2013
The Iranian regime is entangled in five considerable crises, including the explosive and escalating popular discontent, Syrian and recently Iraqi people's uprising, impasse over the nuclear program, the regime's economic ruin and bankruptcy which it cannot prevent, and fifth crisis is the ruling circles are crippled with divisions and internal feuds. This is while Mullahs are on the verge of their presidential elections, which means that these divisions will become even more severe.
Mullahs ruling in Iran have been caught in a devastated economy whose challenges are insurmountable; an economy in free fall, with a 50% inflation rate, 30% unemployment rate, a 300% reduction in the value of the national currency, and a negative 0.7% growth rate.
Due to the international sanctions against Iranian regime the Iranian currency has plunged to its lowest rate. One dollar now is more than 36800 Rials. Professor Hanke an economist from John Hopkins University told New York Times that inflation in Iran is 110%.
Reuters reported on January 12, 2013 that among 177 countries around the world Iran's economy is rated 168.
International Energy Agency recently reported that Iran's oil export in October was 1,300,000 barrels per day, while in 2011 it was 2,300,000 BPD. Askar Oladi head of the Iranian Chamber of Commerce said very recently that our oil income has dropped to 1/3
Iranian regime survives only by execution, torture and repression against its opponents. The average of daily execution in Iran is 2 persons per day and the average of hourly arrests is 80 persons per hour. This is why the Iranian people do not want this regime.
Under these circumstances the mullahs would either have to stop dedicating enormous funds to suppression and terrorism and lessen the influence of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in the Iranian economy, which would pave the way for widespread popular protests. Or, the regime would have to continue on with the current catastrophic situation, which would produce a massive explosion caused by the anger of the unemployed, the hungry and the impoverished.
The fundamental reality is that this crisis has entered its final phase, producing acceleration in the tempo of developments and bringing the mullahs closer to making a choice between implosion and overthrow. Their retreat would mean the regime's implosion and the beginning of popular protests; The continuation of the current policies would mean confrontation and
collision with the international community leading to the regime's overthrow.
It is clear that despite the existence of such fatal challenges, the mullahs' downfall will not be automatic and spontaneous. An organized movement is required to actualize the potentials of the current ripe circumstances and lead it to its eventual victory.
Despite all the possible measures adopted by the Iranian regime to annihilate the Iranian people's Resistance, but they failed. On page 27 of a fresh investigative joint report prepared by the Pentagon and U.S. Federal Research Division - Library of Congress conducted on Iran's Ministry of Intelligence confirms that: "After the 1991 Gulf War against Iraq, Iranian
Ministry of Intelligence and Security (MOIS) made anti-MEK psychological warfare one of its main objectives, but MEK nonetheless has remained a viable organization."
Rudy Giuliani the former mayor of New York city said in a conference in Paris on November 17, 2012, that" In this particular case, Iran, there is a very clear alternative, like there was in Poland, the solidarity; it is a very clear alternative, this coalition that Madam Rajvi was able to put together".
The Iranian people's Resistance is capable to overthrow mullahs' regime
The time has come for regime change in Iran. The Iranian people and their organized resistance with all perseverance as well as its democratic platform for future of Iran have risen up to overthrow the regime to overthrow mullahs' regime. The international community must realign itself with the will of the Iranian people.
The struggle to liberate the Iranian people falls in the same category of efforts to preserve international peace and security in the face of the threats posed by the religious fascism ruling Iran.
|Shahriar Kia is a political analyst and spokesman for the residents of Camp Ashraf, Iraq, where he resides. Shahriar was educated in the United States, graduating from the University of Texas, in computer science.|